Liverpool vs Hull City Prediction

Feb 20, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 26 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Liverpool to win at 75%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 75%, draw 16%, Hull City 9%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 75%

Liverpool vs Hull City prediction: 75% / 16% / 9% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Liverpool
model top outcome · 75%

2-0
model score forecast

62%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 75% / Draw 16% / Hull City 9%; expected goals 2.47-0.74; BTTS 48%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Liverpool win: 75%
Draw: 16%
Hull City win: 9%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.47 - 0.74
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams to score: 48%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1826 · Hull City Elo 1499

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Liverpool clear favourites at 75% in this Matchweek 26 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 75%, the draw 16%, Hull City 9%. A big Elo gap in Liverpool's favour (1826 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Hull City?

Liverpool are favoured at 75%. Liverpool 75% / Draw 16% / Hull City 9%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.