Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 21 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Liverpool to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 56%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 21%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction: 56% / 23% / 21% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Liverpool
model top outcome · 56%

1-0
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 56% / Draw 23% / Crystal Palace 21%; expected goals 1.80-1.01; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Liverpool win: 56%
Draw: 23%
Crystal Palace win: 21%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.80 - 1.01
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1829 · Crystal Palace Elo 1700

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Liverpool clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 21 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 56%, the draw 23%, Crystal Palace 21%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1829 vs 1700), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool are favoured at 56%. Liverpool 56% / Draw 23% / Crystal Palace 21%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.