Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 21 · Anfield

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Liverpool to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Liverpool 58%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 19%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction: 58% / 23% / 19% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Liverpool
model top outcome · 58%

1-0
model score forecast

54%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Liverpool 58% / Draw 23% / Crystal Palace 19%; expected goals 1.87-0.97; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-2027-01-16-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-2027-01-16.png" alt="Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Liverpool win: 58%
Draw: 23%
Crystal Palace win: 19%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.87 - 0.97
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Liverpool Elo 1826 · Crystal Palace Elo 1672

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Liverpool clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 21 fixture at Anfield — Liverpool 58%, the draw 23%, Crystal Palace 19%. A clear Elo edge to Liverpool (1826 vs 1672), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool are favoured at 58%. Liverpool 58% / Draw 23% / Crystal Palace 19%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Liverpool vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.