Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 31 · Elland Road

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Leeds United to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 47%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 28%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest prediction: 47% / 25% / 28% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Leeds United
model top outcome · 47%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Leeds United 47% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 28%; expected goals 1.57-1.16; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Leeds United win: 47%
Draw: 25%
Nottingham Forest win: 28%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.57 - 1.16
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Leeds United Elo 1735 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Leeds United clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 31 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 47%, the draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 28%. A modest Elo edge to Leeds United (1735 vs 1691), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?

Leeds United are favoured at 47%. Leeds United 47% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 28%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.