Leeds United vs Ipswich Town
Prediction
· Matchweek 14 · Elland Road
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Leeds United to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 58%, draw 23%, Ipswich Town 19%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Leeds United 58% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 19%; expected goals 1.88-0.97; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Leeds United win: 58%
- Draw: 23%
- Ipswich Town win: 19%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.88 - 0.97
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Leeds United Elo 1724 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Leeds United clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 58%, the draw 23%, Ipswich Town 19%. A clear Elo edge to Leeds United (1724 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Leeds United are favoured at 58%. Leeds United 58% / Draw 23% / Ipswich Town 19%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Leeds United vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.



