Leeds United vs Ipswich Town Prediction

Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 14 · Elland Road

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Leeds United to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 61%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 17%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%

Leeds United vs Ipswich Town prediction: 61% / 22% / 17% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Leeds United
model top outcome · 61%

1-0
model score forecast

55%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Leeds United 61% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 17%; expected goals 1.94-0.94; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/leeds-united-vs-ipswich-town-2026-12-05-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/leeds-united-vs-ipswich-town-2026-12-05.png" alt="Leeds United vs Ipswich Town prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Leeds United win: 61%
Draw: 22%
Ipswich Town win: 17%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.94 - 0.94
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Leeds United Elo 1757 · Ipswich Town Elo 1580

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Leeds United clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 61%, the draw 22%, Ipswich Town 17%. A clear Elo edge to Leeds United (1757 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?

Leeds United are favoured at 61%. Leeds United 61% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 17%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Leeds United vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.