FootyTips 
Leeds United vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 28 · Elland Road
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Leeds United to win at 69%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 69%, draw 19%, Hull City 12%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 69%
model top outcome · 69%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Leeds United 69% / Draw 19% / Hull City 12%; expected goals 2.21-0.82; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Leeds United win: 69%
- Draw: 19%
- Hull City win: 12%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.21 - 0.82
- Over 2.5: 58%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Leeds United Elo 1757 · Hull City Elo 1499
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Leeds United clear favourites at 69% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 69%, the draw 19%, Hull City 12%. A big Elo gap in Leeds United's favour (1757 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Leeds United vs Hull City?
Leeds United are favoured at 69%. Leeds United 69% / Draw 19% / Hull City 12%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Leeds United vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.