Leeds United vs Hull City Prediction

Mar 3, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 28 · Elland Road

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Leeds United to win at 66%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 66%, draw 20%, Hull City 14%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 66%

Leeds United vs Hull City prediction: 66% / 20% / 14% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Leeds United
model top outcome · 66%

2-0
model score forecast

57%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Leeds United 66% / Draw 20% / Hull City 14%; expected goals 2.13-0.86; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/leeds-united-vs-hull-city-2027-03-03-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/leeds-united-vs-hull-city-2027-03-03.png" alt="Leeds United vs Hull City prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Leeds United win: 66%
Draw: 20%
Hull City win: 14%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.13 - 0.86
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams to score: 51%

Model Ratings

Leeds United Elo 1735 · Hull City Elo 1501

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Leeds United clear favourites at 66% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 66%, the draw 20%, Hull City 14%. A big Elo gap in Leeds United's favour (1735 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Hull City?

Leeds United are favoured at 66%. Leeds United 66% / Draw 20% / Hull City 14%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Leeds United vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.