FootyTips 
Leeds United vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 28 · Elland Road
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Leeds United to win at 72%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 72%, draw 17%, Hull City 11%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 72%
model top outcome · 72%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Leeds United 72% / Draw 17% / Hull City 11%; expected goals 2.33-0.78; BTTS 49%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Leeds United win: 72%
- Draw: 17%
- Hull City win: 11%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.33 - 0.78
- Over 2.5: 60%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Leeds United Elo 1724 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Leeds United clear favourites at 72% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 72%, the draw 17%, Hull City 11%. A big Elo gap in Leeds United's favour (1724 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Leeds United vs Hull City?
Leeds United are favoured at 72%. Leeds United 72% / Draw 17% / Hull City 11%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Leeds United vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.