Leeds United vs Everton Prediction

Jan 1, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 19 · Elland Road

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Leeds United to win at 46%. Overall probabilities: Leeds United 46%, draw 25%, Everton 29%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 46%

Leeds United vs Everton prediction: 46% / 25% / 29% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Leeds United
model top outcome · 46%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Leeds United 46% / Draw 25% / Everton 29%; expected goals 1.55-1.18; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Leeds United win: 46%
Draw: 25%
Everton win: 29%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.55 - 1.18
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Leeds United Elo 1757 · Everton Elo 1721

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Leeds United clear favourites at 46% in this Matchweek 19 fixture at Elland Road — Leeds United 46%, the draw 25%, Everton 29%. A modest Elo edge to Leeds United (1757 vs 1721), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Everton?

Leeds United are favoured at 46%. Leeds United 46% / Draw 25% / Everton 29%.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Everton?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Leeds United vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Everton?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.