Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United Prediction

Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 15 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Newcastle United to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 26%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 49%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%

Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United prediction: 26% / 25% / 49% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Newcastle United
model top outcome · 49%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 26% / Draw 25% / Newcastle United 49%; expected goals 1.11-1.64; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/ipswich-town-vs-newcastle-united-2026-12-12-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/ipswich-town-vs-newcastle-united-2026-12-12.png" alt="Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 26%
Draw: 25%
Newcastle United win: 49%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.11 - 1.64
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Newcastle United Elo 1737

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Newcastle United clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 15 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 26%, the draw 25%, Newcastle United 49%. A clear Elo edge to Newcastle United (1737 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United are favoured at 49%. Ipswich Town 26% / Draw 25% / Newcastle United 49%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.