Ipswich Town vs Manchester City Prediction

May 15, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 36 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester City to win at 73%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 10%, draw 17%, Manchester City 73%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 73%

Ipswich Town vs Manchester City prediction: 10% / 17% / 73% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester City
model top outcome · 73%

0-2
model score forecast

60%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 10% / Draw 17% / Manchester City 73%; expected goals 0.77-2.36; BTTS 49%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/ipswich-town-vs-manchester-city-2027-05-15-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/ipswich-town-vs-manchester-city-2027-05-15.png" alt="Ipswich Town vs Manchester City prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 10%
Draw: 17%
Manchester City win: 73%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.77 - 2.36
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams to score: 49%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1580 · Manchester City Elo 1978

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 73% in this Matchweek 36 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 10%, the draw 17%, Manchester City 73%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1978 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?

Manchester City are favoured at 73%. Ipswich Town 10% / Draw 17% / Manchester City 73%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.