Ipswich Town vs Manchester City
Prediction
· Matchweek 36 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 71%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 11%, draw 18%, Manchester City 71%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 71%
model top outcome · 71%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 11% / Draw 18% / Manchester City 71%; expected goals 0.79-2.30; BTTS 49%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 11%
- Draw: 18%
- Manchester City win: 71%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.79 - 2.30
- Over 2.5: 60%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Manchester City Elo 1950
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 71% in this Matchweek 36 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 11%, the draw 18%, Manchester City 71%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1950 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 71%. Ipswich Town 11% / Draw 18% / Manchester City 71%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.



