Ipswich Town vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 22 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Ipswich Town to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 56%, draw 23%, Hull City 21%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 56% / Draw 23% / Hull City 21%; expected goals 1.81-1.01; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 56%
- Draw: 23%
- Hull City win: 21%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.81 - 1.01
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Ipswich Town clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 22 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 56%, the draw 23%, Hull City 21%. A clear Elo edge to Ipswich Town (1566 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Hull City?
Ipswich Town are favoured at 56%. Ipswich Town 56% / Draw 23% / Hull City 21%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.



