Ipswich Town vs Coventry City Prediction

Jan 6, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 20 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model sees this as a close match, with Ipswich Town narrowly favoured (38%). Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 38%, draw 26%, Coventry City 36%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 38%

Ipswich Town vs Coventry City prediction: 38% / 26% / 36% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Ipswich Town
model top outcome · 38%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 38% / Draw 26% / Coventry City 36%; expected goals 1.37-1.33; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 38%
Draw: 26%
Coventry City win: 36%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.37 - 1.33
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Coventry City Elo 1605

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 20 fixture at Portman Road: Ipswich Town 38%, the draw 26%, Coventry City 36%. With a modest Elo edge to Coventry City (1605 vs 1566), Ipswich Town are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Coventry City?

Ipswich Town are favoured at 38%. Ipswich Town 38% / Draw 26% / Coventry City 36%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Coventry City?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Coventry City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Coventry City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.