Ipswich Town vs Chelsea Prediction

Dec 30, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 18 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Chelsea to win at 50%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 25%, draw 25%, Chelsea 50%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 50%

Ipswich Town vs Chelsea prediction: 25% / 25% / 50% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Chelsea
model top outcome · 50%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 25% / Draw 25% / Chelsea 50%; expected goals 1.11-1.64; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 25%
Draw: 25%
Chelsea win: 50%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.11 - 1.64
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Chelsea Elo 1739

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Chelsea clear favourites at 50% in this Matchweek 18 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 25%, the draw 25%, Chelsea 50%. A clear Elo edge to Chelsea (1739 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Chelsea?

Chelsea are favoured at 50%. Ipswich Town 25% / Draw 25% / Chelsea 50%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Chelsea?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Chelsea?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.