Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction

Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 27 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 19%, draw 23%, Brighton and Hove Albion 58%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%

Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion prediction: 19% / 23% / 58% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brighton and Hove Albion
model top outcome · 58%

0-1
model score forecast

54%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 19% / Draw 23% / Brighton and Hove Albion 58%; expected goals 0.98-1.86; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 19%
Draw: 23%
Brighton and Hove Albion win: 58%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.98 - 1.86
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1588 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1839

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 19%, the draw 23%, Brighton and Hove Albion 58%. A big Elo gap in Brighton and Hove Albion's favour (1839 vs 1588), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 58%. Ipswich Town 19% / Draw 23% / Brighton and Hove Albion 58%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.