Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
Prediction
· Matchweek 10 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 57%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 20%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 57%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 57%
model top outcome · 57%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 20% / Draw 23% / Bournemouth 57%; expected goals 1.00-1.83; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 20%
- Draw: 23%
- Bournemouth win: 57%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.00 - 1.83
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Bournemouth Elo 1806
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 57% in this Matchweek 10 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 20%, the draw 23%, Bournemouth 57%. A big Elo gap in Bournemouth's favour (1806 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 57%. Ipswich Town 20% / Draw 23% / Bournemouth 57%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.



