Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa Prediction

Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 12 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Aston Villa to win at 52%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 23%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 52%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 52%

Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa prediction: 23% / 25% / 52% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Aston Villa
model top outcome · 52%

0-1
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-07
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 23% / Draw 25% / Aston Villa 52%; expected goals 1.06-1.71; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/ipswich-town-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-28-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/ipswich-town-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-28.png" alt="Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 23%
Draw: 25%
Aston Villa win: 52%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.06 - 1.71
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1572 · Aston Villa Elo 1771

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-07. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Aston Villa clear favourites at 52% in this Matchweek 12 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 23%, the draw 25%, Aston Villa 52%. A clear Elo edge to Aston Villa (1771 vs 1572), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa are favoured at 52%. Ipswich Town 23% / Draw 25% / Aston Villa 52%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.