FootyTips 
Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa 
Prediction
· Matchweek 12 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Aston Villa to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 21%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 56%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Ipswich Town 21% / Draw 23% / Aston Villa 56%; expected goals 1.01-1.81; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 21%
- Draw: 23%
- Aston Villa win: 56%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.01 - 1.81
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Aston Villa Elo 1798
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Aston Villa clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 12 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 21%, the draw 23%, Aston Villa 56%. A big Elo gap in Aston Villa's favour (1798 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa are favoured at 56%. Ipswich Town 21% / Draw 23% / Aston Villa 56%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.