Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa Prediction

Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 12 · Portman Road

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Aston Villa to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 26%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 49%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%

Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa prediction: 26% / 25% / 49% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Aston Villa
model top outcome · 49%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Ipswich Town 26% / Draw 25% / Aston Villa 49%; expected goals 1.12-1.63; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Ipswich Town win: 26%
Draw: 25%
Aston Villa win: 49%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.12 - 1.63
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Ipswich Town Elo 1580 · Aston Villa Elo 1748

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Aston Villa clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 12 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 26%, the draw 25%, Aston Villa 49%. A clear Elo edge to Aston Villa (1748 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa are favoured at 49%. Ipswich Town 26% / Draw 25% / Aston Villa 49%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.