Ipswich Town vs Arsenal
Prediction
· Matchweek 25 · Portman Road
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Arsenal to win at 74%. Overall probabilities: Ipswich Town 10%, draw 16%, Arsenal 74%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 74%
model top outcome · 74%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Ipswich Town 10% / Draw 16% / Arsenal 74%; expected goals 0.76-2.41; BTTS 48%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Ipswich Town win: 10%
- Draw: 16%
- Arsenal win: 74%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.76 - 2.41
- Over 2.5: 61%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Ipswich Town Elo 1566 · Arsenal Elo 1979
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 74% in this Matchweek 25 fixture at Portman Road — Ipswich Town 10%, the draw 16%, Arsenal 74%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are favoured at 74%. Ipswich Town 10% / Draw 16% / Arsenal 74%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Ipswich Town vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.



