Hull City vs Sunderland
Prediction
· Matchweek 25 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Sunderland to win at 54%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 22%, draw 24%, Sunderland 54%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 54%
model top outcome · 54%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Hull City 22% / Draw 24% / Sunderland 54%; expected goals 1.04-1.76; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 22%
- Draw: 24%
- Sunderland win: 54%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.04 - 1.76
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1433 · Sunderland Elo 1649
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Sunderland clear favourites at 54% in this Matchweek 25 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 22%, the draw 24%, Sunderland 54%. A big Elo gap in Sunderland's favour (1649 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Sunderland?
Sunderland are favoured at 54%. Hull City 22% / Draw 24% / Sunderland 54%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Sunderland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.



