Hull City crest Hull City vs Sunderland Sunderland crest Prediction

· Matchweek 25 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated:

The model favours Sunderland to win at 54%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 22%, draw 24%, Sunderland 54%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 54%

Hull City vs Sunderland prediction: 22% / 24% / 54%
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Sunderland
model top outcome · 54%
0-1
model score forecast
53%
over 2.5 goals probability
2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

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Citable facts: Hull City 22% / Draw 24% / Sunderland 54%; expected goals 1.04-1.76; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Goals & Scoreline

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1433 · Sunderland Elo 1649

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Sunderland clear favourites at 54% in this Matchweek 25 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 22%, the draw 24%, Sunderland 54%. A big Elo gap in Sunderland's favour (1649 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Sunderland?

Sunderland are favoured at 54%. Hull City 22% / Draw 24% / Sunderland 54%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.