FootyTips 
Hull City vs Nottingham Forest 
Prediction
· Matchweek 13 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 57%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 20%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 57%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 57%
model top outcome · 57%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 20% / Draw 23% / Nottingham Forest 57%; expected goals 0.99-1.84; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 20%
- Draw: 23%
- Nottingham Forest win: 57%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.99 - 1.84
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1499 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1744
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 57% in this Matchweek 13 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 20%, the draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 57%. A big Elo gap in Nottingham Forest's favour (1744 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 57%. Hull City 20% / Draw 23% / Nottingham Forest 57%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.