Hull City vs Newcastle United Prediction

May 30, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 38 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Newcastle United to win at 63%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 16%, draw 21%, Newcastle United 63%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 63%

Hull City vs Newcastle United prediction: 16% / 21% / 63% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Newcastle United
model top outcome · 63%

0-2
model score forecast

56%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 16% / Draw 21% / Newcastle United 63%; expected goals 0.90-2.03; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/hull-city-vs-newcastle-united-2027-05-30-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/hull-city-vs-newcastle-united-2027-05-30.png" alt="Hull City vs Newcastle United prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Hull City win: 16%
Draw: 21%
Newcastle United win: 63%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.90 - 2.03
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1433 · Newcastle United Elo 1737

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Newcastle United clear favourites at 63% in this Matchweek 38 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 16%, the draw 21%, Newcastle United 63%. A big Elo gap in Newcastle United's favour (1737 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United are favoured at 63%. Hull City 16% / Draw 21% / Newcastle United 63%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Newcastle United?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Newcastle United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.