FootyTips 
Hull City vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 27 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 82%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 6%, draw 12%, Manchester City 82%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 82%
model top outcome · 82%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Hull City 6% / Draw 12% / Manchester City 82%; expected goals 0.64-2.85; BTTS 45%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 6%
- Draw: 12%
- Manchester City win: 82%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.64 - 2.85
- Over 2.5: 68%
- Both teams to score: 45%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1433 · Manchester City Elo 1950
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 82% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 6%, the draw 12%, Manchester City 82%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1950 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 45%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 82%. Hull City 6% / Draw 12% / Manchester City 82%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 45%.