FootyTips 
Hull City vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 27 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 78%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 8%, draw 14%, Manchester City 78%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 78%
model top outcome · 78%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 8% / Draw 14% / Manchester City 78%; expected goals 0.70-2.62; BTTS 47%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 8%
- Draw: 14%
- Manchester City win: 78%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.70 - 2.62
- Over 2.5: 64%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1501 · Manchester City Elo 1965
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 78% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 8%, the draw 14%, Manchester City 78%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1965 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 78%. Hull City 8% / Draw 14% / Manchester City 78%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.