Hull City vs Manchester City Prediction

Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 27 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester City to win at 79%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 7%, draw 14%, Manchester City 79%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 79%

Hull City vs Manchester City prediction: 7% / 14% / 79% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester City
model top outcome · 79%

0-2
model score forecast

65%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 7% / Draw 14% / Manchester City 79%; expected goals 0.68-2.68; BTTS 46%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Hull City win: 7%
Draw: 14%
Manchester City win: 79%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.68 - 2.68
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams to score: 46%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1499 · Manchester City Elo 1978

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 79% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 7%, the draw 14%, Manchester City 79%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1978 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 46%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Manchester City?

Manchester City are favoured at 79%. Hull City 7% / Draw 14% / Manchester City 79%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Manchester City?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 46%.