FootyTips 
Hull City vs Liverpool 
Prediction
· Matchweek 17 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Liverpool to win at 72%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 11%, draw 17%, Liverpool 72%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 72%
model top outcome · 72%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 11% / Draw 17% / Liverpool 72%; expected goals 0.78-2.35; BTTS 49%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 11%
- Draw: 17%
- Liverpool win: 72%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.78 - 2.35
- Over 2.5: 60%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1433 · Liverpool Elo 1829
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Liverpool clear favourites at 72% in this Matchweek 17 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 11%, the draw 17%, Liverpool 72%. A big Elo gap in Liverpool's favour (1829 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 49%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are favoured at 72%. Hull City 11% / Draw 17% / Liverpool 72%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.