FootyTips 
Hull City vs Leeds United 
Prediction
· Matchweek 18 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 19:30 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Leeds United to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 21%, draw 23%, Leeds United 56%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 21% / Draw 23% / Leeds United 56%; expected goals 1.01-1.81; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 21%
- Draw: 23%
- Leeds United win: 56%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.01 - 1.81
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1501 · Leeds United Elo 1735
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Leeds United clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 18 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 21%, the draw 23%, Leeds United 56%. A big Elo gap in Leeds United's favour (1735 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Leeds United?
Leeds United are favoured at 56%. Hull City 21% / Draw 23% / Leeds United 56%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Leeds United?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Leeds United have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Leeds United?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.