Hull City vs Fulham Prediction

May 15, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 36 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Fulham to win at 52%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 23%, draw 25%, Fulham 52%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 52%

Hull City vs Fulham prediction: 23% / 25% / 52% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Fulham
model top outcome · 52%

0-1
model score forecast

52%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 23% / Draw 25% / Fulham 52%; expected goals 1.07-1.71; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Hull City win: 23%
Draw: 25%
Fulham win: 52%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.07 - 1.71
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1501 · Fulham Elo 1699

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Fulham clear favourites at 52% in this Matchweek 36 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 23%, the draw 25%, Fulham 52%. A clear Elo edge to Fulham (1699 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Fulham?

Fulham are favoured at 52%. Hull City 23% / Draw 25% / Fulham 52%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Fulham?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Fulham?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.