FootyTips 
Hull City vs Everton 
Prediction
· Matchweek 6 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Everton to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 18%, draw 22%, Everton 60%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%
model top outcome · 60%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Hull City 18% / Draw 22% / Everton 60%; expected goals 0.95-1.92; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 18%
- Draw: 22%
- Everton win: 60%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.95 - 1.92
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1433 · Everton Elo 1702
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Everton clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 6 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 18%, the draw 22%, Everton 60%. A big Elo gap in Everton's favour (1702 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton are favoured at 60%. Hull City 18% / Draw 22% / Everton 60%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.