Hull City vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 23 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 28%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 47%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Hull City vs Crystal Palace prediction: 28% / 25% / 47% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Crystal Palace
model top outcome · 47%

0-1
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 28% / Draw 25% / Crystal Palace 47%; expected goals 1.16-1.58; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/hull-city-vs-crystal-palace-2027-01-30-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/hull-city-vs-crystal-palace-2027-01-30.png" alt="Hull City vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Hull City win: 28%
Draw: 25%
Crystal Palace win: 47%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.16 - 1.58
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1501 · Crystal Palace Elo 1648

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Crystal Palace clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 23 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 28%, the draw 25%, Crystal Palace 47%. A clear Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1648 vs 1501), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Crystal Palace?

Crystal Palace are favoured at 47%. Hull City 28% / Draw 25% / Crystal Palace 47%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Crystal Palace?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.