FootyTips 
Hull City vs Chelsea 
Prediction
· Matchweek 30 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Chelsea to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 19%, draw 23%, Chelsea 58%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 19% / Draw 23% / Chelsea 58%; expected goals 0.98-1.87; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 19%
- Draw: 23%
- Chelsea win: 58%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.98 - 1.87
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1499 · Chelsea Elo 1751
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Chelsea clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 30 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 19%, the draw 23%, Chelsea 58%. A big Elo gap in Chelsea's favour (1751 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Chelsea?
Chelsea are favoured at 58%. Hull City 19% / Draw 23% / Chelsea 58%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Chelsea?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.