Hull City vs Chelsea Prediction

Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 30 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Chelsea to win at 64%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 15%, draw 21%, Chelsea 64%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 64%

Hull City vs Chelsea prediction: 15% / 21% / 64% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Chelsea
model top outcome · 64%

0-2
model score forecast

56%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 15% / Draw 21% / Chelsea 64%; expected goals 0.90-2.03; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Hull City win: 15%
Draw: 21%
Chelsea win: 64%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.90 - 2.03
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1433 · Chelsea Elo 1739

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Chelsea clear favourites at 64% in this Matchweek 30 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 15%, the draw 21%, Chelsea 64%. A big Elo gap in Chelsea's favour (1739 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Chelsea?

Chelsea are favoured at 64%. Hull City 15% / Draw 21% / Chelsea 64%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Chelsea?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.