Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction

Nov 21, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 11 · The MKM Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 65%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 15%, draw 20%, Brighton and Hove Albion 65%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 65%

Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion prediction: 15% / 20% / 65% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brighton and Hove Albion
model top outcome · 65%

0-2
model score forecast

57%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Hull City 15% / Draw 20% / Brighton and Hove Albion 65%; expected goals 0.87-2.09; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Hull City win: 15%
Draw: 20%
Brighton and Hove Albion win: 65%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.87 - 2.09
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams to score: 51%

Model Ratings

Hull City Elo 1433 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1756

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 65% in this Matchweek 11 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 15%, the draw 20%, Brighton and Hove Albion 65%. A big Elo gap in Brighton and Hove Albion's favour (1756 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 65%. Hull City 15% / Draw 20% / Brighton and Hove Albion 65%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.