FootyTips 
Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion 
Prediction
· Matchweek 11 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 17%, draw 22%, Brighton and Hove Albion 61%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%
model top outcome · 61%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Hull City 17% / Draw 22% / Brighton and Hove Albion 61%; expected goals 0.93-1.95; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 17%
- Draw: 22%
- Brighton and Hove Albion win: 61%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.93 - 1.95
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1499 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1780
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 11 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 17%, the draw 22%, Brighton and Hove Albion 61%. A big Elo gap in Brighton and Hove Albion's favour (1780 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 61%. Hull City 17% / Draw 22% / Brighton and Hove Albion 61%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.