Hull City vs Bournemouth
Prediction
· Matchweek 34 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 70%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 12%, draw 18%, Bournemouth 70%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 70%
model top outcome · 70%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Hull City 12% / Draw 18% / Bournemouth 70%; expected goals 0.81-2.26; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 12%
- Draw: 18%
- Bournemouth win: 70%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.81 - 2.26
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1433 · Bournemouth Elo 1806
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 70% in this Matchweek 34 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 12%, the draw 18%, Bournemouth 70%. A big Elo gap in Bournemouth's favour (1806 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 70%. Hull City 12% / Draw 18% / Bournemouth 70%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.



