Hull City vs Bournemouth
Prediction
· Matchweek 34 · The MKM Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 64%. Overall probabilities: Hull City 15%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 64%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 64%
model top outcome · 64%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Hull City 15% / Draw 21% / Bournemouth 64%; expected goals 0.89-2.04; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Hull City win: 15%
- Draw: 21%
- Bournemouth win: 64%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.89 - 2.04
- Over 2.5: 56%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Hull City Elo 1489 · Bournemouth Elo 1797
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-09. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 64% in this Matchweek 34 fixture at The MKM Stadium — Hull City 15%, the draw 21%, Bournemouth 64%. A big Elo gap in Bournemouth's favour (1797 vs 1489), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favoured at 64%. Hull City 15% / Draw 21% / Bournemouth 64%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Hull City vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.



