Fulham vs Nottingham Forest
Prediction
· Matchweek 25 · Craven Cottage
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Nottingham Forest narrowly favoured (37%). Overall probabilities: Fulham 37%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 37%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 37%
model top outcome · 37%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Fulham 37% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 37%; expected goals 1.34-1.36; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Fulham win: 37%
- Draw: 26%
- Nottingham Forest win: 37%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.34 - 1.36
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Fulham Elo 1689 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1744
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 25 fixture at Craven Cottage: Fulham 37%, the draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 37%. With a modest Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1744 vs 1689), Nottingham Forest are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest are favoured at 37%. Fulham 37% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 37%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Fulham vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



