FootyTips 
Fulham vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 24 · Craven Cottage
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 62%. Overall probabilities: Fulham 17%, draw 21%, Manchester City 62%; model score 0-2.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 62%
model top outcome · 62%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Fulham 17% / Draw 21% / Manchester City 62%; expected goals 0.92-1.98; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Fulham win: 17%
- Draw: 21%
- Manchester City win: 62%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-2
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.92 - 1.98
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Fulham Elo 1689 · Manchester City Elo 1978
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Manchester City clear favourites at 62% in this Matchweek 24 fixture at Craven Cottage — Fulham 17%, the draw 21%, Manchester City 62%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1978 vs 1689), and the model score forecast is 0–2.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Fulham vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 62%. Fulham 17% / Draw 21% / Manchester City 62%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Fulham vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.