Fulham vs Arsenal Prediction

Dec 30, 07:30 PM UTC · Matchweek 18 · Craven Cottage

Match Status

Kickoff 19:30 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 63%. Overall probabilities: Fulham 16%, draw 21%, Arsenal 63%; model score 0-2.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 63%

Fulham vs Arsenal prediction: 16% / 21% / 63% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 63%

0-2
model score forecast

56%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Fulham 16% / Draw 21% / Arsenal 63%; expected goals 0.91-2.01; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/fulham-vs-arsenal-2026-12-30-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/fulham-vs-arsenal-2026-12-30.png" alt="Fulham vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
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Win Probability

Fulham win: 16%
Draw: 21%
Arsenal win: 63%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-2
Expected goals (model lambda): 0.91 - 2.01
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams to score: 52%

Model Ratings

Fulham Elo 1699 · Arsenal Elo 1997

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 63% in this Matchweek 18 fixture at Craven Cottage — Fulham 16%, the draw 21%, Arsenal 63%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1997 vs 1699), and the model score forecast is 0–2.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Fulham vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 63%. Fulham 16% / Draw 21% / Arsenal 63%.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-2, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Fulham vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.