Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction

Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 30 · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Everton to win at 46%. Overall probabilities: Everton 46%, draw 26%, Tottenham Hotspur 28%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 46%

Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction: 46% / 26% / 28% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Everton
model top outcome · 46%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-11-06
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Everton 46% / Draw 26% / Tottenham Hotspur 28%; expected goals 1.56-1.17; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Everton win: 46%
Draw: 26%
Tottenham Hotspur win: 28%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.56 - 1.17
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Everton Elo 1713 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1673

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Everton clear favourites at 46% in this Matchweek 30 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 46%, the draw 26%, Tottenham Hotspur 28%. A modest Elo edge to Everton (1713 vs 1673), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Everton are favoured at 46%. Everton 46% / Draw 26% / Tottenham Hotspur 28%.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.