FootyTips 
Everton vs Sunderland 
Prediction
· Matchweek 17 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Everton to win at 50%. Overall probabilities: Everton 50%, draw 25%, Sunderland 25%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 50%
model top outcome · 50%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Everton 50% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 25%; expected goals 1.64-1.11; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Everton win: 50%
- Draw: 25%
- Sunderland win: 25%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.64 - 1.11
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1721 · Sunderland Elo 1648
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Everton clear favourites at 50% in this Matchweek 17 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 50%, the draw 25%, Sunderland 25%. A modest Elo edge to Everton (1721 vs 1648), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?
Everton are favoured at 50%. Everton 50% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 25%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Everton vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Sunderland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.