Everton vs Nottingham Forest
Prediction
· Matchweek 27 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Everton narrowly favoured (44%). Overall probabilities: Everton 44%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 30%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 44%
model top outcome · 44%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Everton 44% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 30%; expected goals 1.51-1.20; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Everton win: 44%
- Draw: 26%
- Nottingham Forest win: 30%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.51 - 1.20
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1713 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1691
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 27 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium: Everton 44%, the draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 30%. With near-level Elo ratings (Everton 1713, Nottingham Forest 1691), Everton are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
Everton are favoured at 44%. Everton 44% / Draw 26% / Nottingham Forest 30%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Everton vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.



