FootyTips 
Everton vs Manchester City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 18 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Manchester City to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Everton 19%, draw 23%, Manchester City 58%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Everton 19% / Draw 23% / Manchester City 58%; expected goals 0.98-1.85; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Everton win: 19%
- Draw: 23%
- Manchester City win: 58%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.98 - 1.85
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1702 · Manchester City Elo 1950
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Manchester City clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 18 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 19%, the draw 23%, Manchester City 58%. A big Elo gap in Manchester City's favour (1950 vs 1702), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Manchester City?
Manchester City are favoured at 58%. Everton 19% / Draw 23% / Manchester City 58%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Manchester City?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Everton vs Manchester City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Manchester City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.