Everton vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 35 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Everton to win at 65%. Overall probabilities: Everton 65%, draw 20%, Hull City 15%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 65%
model top outcome · 65%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Everton 65% / Draw 20% / Hull City 15%; expected goals 2.09-0.87; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Everton win: 65%
- Draw: 20%
- Hull City win: 15%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.09 - 0.87
- Over 2.5: 57%
- Both teams to score: 51%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1721 · Hull City Elo 1499
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Everton clear favourites at 65% in this Matchweek 35 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 65%, the draw 20%, Hull City 15%. A big Elo gap in Everton's favour (1721 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Hull City?
Everton are favoured at 65%. Everton 65% / Draw 20% / Hull City 15%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Everton vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.



