FootyTips 
Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion 
Prediction
· Matchweek 33 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 45%. Overall probabilities: Everton 29%, draw 26%, Brighton and Hove Albion 45%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 45%
model top outcome · 45%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Everton 29% / Draw 26% / Brighton and Hove Albion 45%; expected goals 1.20-1.52; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Everton win: 29%
- Draw: 26%
- Brighton and Hove Albion win: 45%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.20 - 1.52
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Everton Elo 1713 · Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1839
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-11-06. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 45% in this Matchweek 33 fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium — Everton 29%, the draw 26%, Brighton and Hove Albion 45%. A clear Elo edge to Brighton and Hove Albion (1839 vs 1713), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 45%. Everton 29% / Draw 26% / Brighton and Hove Albion 45%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.