Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction

Jan 23, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 22 · Selhurst Park

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 47%, draw 26%, Tottenham Hotspur 27%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction: 47% / 26% / 27% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Crystal Palace
model top outcome · 47%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Crystal Palace 47% / Draw 26% / Tottenham Hotspur 27%; expected goals 1.59-1.15; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Crystal Palace win: 47%
Draw: 26%
Tottenham Hotspur win: 27%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.59 - 1.15
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Crystal Palace Elo 1672 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Crystal Palace clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 22 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 47%, the draw 26%, Tottenham Hotspur 27%. A modest Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1672 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Crystal Palace are favoured at 47%. Crystal Palace 47% / Draw 26% / Tottenham Hotspur 27%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.