Crystal Palace vs Sunderland Prediction

Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 27 · Selhurst Park

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 46%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 46%, draw 25%, Sunderland 29%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 46%

Crystal Palace vs Sunderland prediction: 46% / 25% / 29% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Crystal Palace
model top outcome · 46%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-09
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Crystal Palace 46% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 29%; expected goals 1.55-1.18; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Crystal Palace win: 46%
Draw: 25%
Sunderland win: 29%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.55 - 1.18
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Crystal Palace Elo 1691 · Sunderland Elo 1655

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-09. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Crystal Palace clear favourites at 46% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 46%, the draw 25%, Sunderland 29%. A modest Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1691 vs 1655), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?

Crystal Palace are favoured at 46%. Crystal Palace 46% / Draw 25% / Sunderland 29%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Crystal Palace vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.