FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland 
Prediction
· Matchweek 27 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 47%, draw 26%, Sunderland 27%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%
model top outcome · 47%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 47% / Draw 26% / Sunderland 27%; expected goals 1.59-1.15; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 47%
- Draw: 26%
- Sunderland win: 27%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.59 - 1.15
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1700 · Sunderland Elo 1649
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has Crystal Palace clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 27 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 47%, the draw 26%, Sunderland 27%. A modest Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1700 vs 1649), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
Crystal Palace are favoured at 47%. Crystal Palace 47% / Draw 26% / Sunderland 27%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Crystal Palace vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.