Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Prediction

Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 15 · Selhurst Park

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Manchester United to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 28%, draw 25%, Manchester United 47%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United prediction: 28% / 25% / 47% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Manchester United
model top outcome · 47%

0-1
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Crystal Palace 28% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 47%; expected goals 1.16-1.58; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Crystal Palace win: 28%
Draw: 25%
Manchester United win: 47%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.16 - 1.58
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Crystal Palace Elo 1700 · Manchester United Elo 1847

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 15 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 28%, the draw 25%, Manchester United 47%. A clear Elo edge to Manchester United (1847 vs 1700), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

Manchester United are favoured at 47%. Crystal Palace 28% / Draw 25% / Manchester United 47%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Crystal Palace vs Manchester United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.