Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 12 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Kickoff 14:05 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 61%, draw 22%, Hull City 17%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%
model top outcome · 61%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Crystal Palace 61% / Draw 22% / Hull City 17%; expected goals 1.96-0.93; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 61%
- Draw: 22%
- Hull City win: 17%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.96 - 0.93
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1678 · Hull City Elo 1496
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-10-16. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Crystal Palace clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 12 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 61%, the draw 22%, Hull City 17%. A clear Elo edge to Crystal Palace (1678 vs 1496), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Crystal Palace are favoured at 61%. Crystal Palace 61% / Draw 22% / Hull City 17%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Crystal Palace vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.



