Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Prediction
· Matchweek 12 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Crystal Palace to win at 70%. Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 70%, draw 18%, Hull City 12%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 70%
model top outcome · 70%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Crystal Palace 70% / Draw 18% / Hull City 12%; expected goals 2.24-0.81; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 70%
- Draw: 18%
- Hull City win: 12%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.24 - 0.81
- Over 2.5: 59%
- Both teams to score: 50%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1700 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Crystal Palace clear favourites at 70% in this Matchweek 12 fixture at Selhurst Park — Crystal Palace 70%, the draw 18%, Hull City 12%. A big Elo gap in Crystal Palace's favour (1700 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Crystal Palace are favoured at 70%. Crystal Palace 70% / Draw 18% / Hull City 12%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Crystal Palace vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.



