FootyTips 
Crystal Palace vs Brentford 
Prediction
· Matchweek 25 · Selhurst Park
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model sees this as a close match, with Brentford narrowly favoured (41%). Overall probabilities: Crystal Palace 33%, draw 26%, Brentford 41%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Low · top outcome 41%
model top outcome · 41%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Crystal Palace 33% / Draw 26% / Brentford 41%; expected goals 1.27-1.43; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Crystal Palace win: 33%
- Draw: 26%
- Brentford win: 41%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.27 - 1.43
- Over 2.5: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Crystal Palace Elo 1672 · Brentford Elo 1759
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model has this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 25 fixture at Selhurst Park: Crystal Palace 33%, the draw 26%, Brentford 41%. With a clear Elo edge to Brentford (1759 vs 1672), Brentford are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Brentford?
Brentford are favoured at 41%. Crystal Palace 33% / Draw 26% / Brentford 41%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Brentford?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Crystal Palace vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Brentford?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.