Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

May 30, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 38 · Coventry Building Society Arena

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Nottingham Forest to win at 47%. Overall probabilities: Coventry City 28%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 47%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 47%

Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest prediction: 28% / 25% / 47% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Nottingham Forest
model top outcome · 47%

0-1
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-09
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Coventry City 28% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 47%; expected goals 1.16-1.57; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Coventry City win: 28%
Draw: 25%
Nottingham Forest win: 47%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.16 - 1.57
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Coventry City Elo 1582 · Nottingham Forest Elo 1728

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-09. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 47% in this Matchweek 38 fixture at Coventry Building Society Arena — Coventry City 28%, the draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 47%. A clear Elo edge to Nottingham Forest (1728 vs 1582), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest are favoured at 47%. Coventry City 28% / Draw 25% / Nottingham Forest 47%.

What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.