FootyTips 
Chelsea vs Ipswich Town 
Prediction
· Matchweek 26 · Stamford Bridge
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Chelsea to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Chelsea 60%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 18%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%
model top outcome · 60%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Chelsea 60% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 18%; expected goals 1.93-0.94; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Chelsea win: 60%
- Draw: 22%
- Ipswich Town win: 18%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.93 - 0.94
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Chelsea Elo 1739 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Chelsea clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 26 fixture at Stamford Bridge — Chelsea 60%, the draw 22%, Ipswich Town 18%. A clear Elo edge to Chelsea (1739 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?
Chelsea are favoured at 60%. Chelsea 60% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 18%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Chelsea vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.