FootyTips 
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace 
Prediction
· Matchweek 13 · Stamford Bridge
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Chelsea to win at 50%. Overall probabilities: Chelsea 50%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 50%
model top outcome · 50%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Chelsea 50% / Draw 25% / Crystal Palace 25%; expected goals 1.66-1.10; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Chelsea win: 50%
- Draw: 25%
- Crystal Palace win: 25%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.66 - 1.10
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Chelsea Elo 1751 · Crystal Palace Elo 1672
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Chelsea clear favourites at 50% in this Matchweek 13 fixture at Stamford Bridge — Chelsea 50%, the draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%. A modest Elo edge to Chelsea (1751 vs 1672), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Chelsea are favoured at 50%. Chelsea 50% / Draw 25% / Crystal Palace 25%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Chelsea vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.