Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City Prediction

Feb 6, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 24 · American Express Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Brighton and Hove Albion to win at 75%. Overall probabilities: Brighton and Hove Albion 75%, draw 16%, Hull City 9%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 75%

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City prediction: 75% / 16% / 9% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Brighton and Hove Albion
model top outcome · 75%

2-0
model score forecast

62%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Brighton and Hove Albion 75% / Draw 16% / Hull City 9%; expected goals 2.45-0.74; BTTS 48%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Brighton and Hove Albion win: 75%
Draw: 16%
Hull City win: 9%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.45 - 0.74
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams to score: 48%

Model Ratings

Brighton and Hove Albion Elo 1756 · Hull City Elo 1433

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Brighton and Hove Albion clear favourites at 75% in this Matchweek 24 fixture at American Express Stadium — Brighton and Hove Albion 75%, the draw 16%, Hull City 9%. A big Elo gap in Brighton and Hove Albion's favour (1756 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City?

Brighton and Hove Albion are favoured at 75%. Brighton and Hove Albion 75% / Draw 16% / Hull City 9%.

What is the predicted score for Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brighton and Hove Albion vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.