Brentford vs Ipswich Town
Prediction
· Matchweek 28 · Gtech Community Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 61%. Overall probabilities: Brentford 61%, draw 22%, Ipswich Town 17%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 61%
model top outcome · 61%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Brentford 61% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 17%; expected goals 1.96-0.93; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Brentford win: 61%
- Draw: 22%
- Ipswich Town win: 17%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.96 - 0.93
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Brentford Elo 1748 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Brentford clear favourites at 61% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Gtech Community Stadium — Brentford 61%, the draw 22%, Ipswich Town 17%. A clear Elo edge to Brentford (1748 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Ipswich Town?
Brentford are favoured at 61%. Brentford 61% / Draw 22% / Ipswich Town 17%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Brentford vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.



