Brentford vs Fulham
Prediction
· Matchweek 33 · Gtech Community Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Brentford to win at 49%. Overall probabilities: Brentford 49%, draw 25%, Fulham 26%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 49%
model top outcome · 49%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Brentford 49% / Draw 25% / Fulham 26%; expected goals 1.64-1.11; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Brentford win: 49%
- Draw: 25%
- Fulham win: 26%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.64 - 1.11
- Over 2.5: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
Brentford Elo 1759 · Fulham Elo 1689
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Brentford clear favourites at 49% in this Matchweek 33 fixture at Gtech Community Stadium — Brentford 49%, the draw 25%, Fulham 26%. A modest Elo edge to Brentford (1759 vs 1689), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Fulham?
Brentford are favoured at 49%. Brentford 49% / Draw 25% / Fulham 26%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Fulham?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Brentford vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Fulham?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.



