FootyTips 
Brentford vs Arsenal 
Prediction
· Matchweek 13 · Gtech Community Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Arsenal to win at 56%. Overall probabilities: Brentford 21%, draw 23%, Arsenal 56%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 56%
model top outcome · 56%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Availability of betting content may be restricted in your region.
Citable facts: Brentford 21% / Draw 23% / Arsenal 56%; expected goals 1.01-1.80; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Brentford win: 21%
- Draw: 23%
- Arsenal win: 56%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.01 - 1.80
- Over 2.5: 53%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Brentford Elo 1748 · Arsenal Elo 1979
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 56% in this Matchweek 13 fixture at Gtech Community Stadium — Brentford 21%, the draw 23%, Arsenal 56%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (1979 vs 1748), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are favoured at 56%. Brentford 21% / Draw 23% / Arsenal 56%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Arsenal?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Brentford vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Arsenal?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.