FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 28 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 60%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 60%, draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur 18%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 60%
model top outcome · 60%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 60% / Draw 22% / Tottenham Hotspur 18%; expected goals 1.92-0.95; BTTS 52%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 60%
- Draw: 22%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 18%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.92 - 0.95
- Over 2.5: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1792 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1621
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Bournemouth clear favourites at 60% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 60%, the draw 22%, Tottenham Hotspur 18%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1792 vs 1621), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 52%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Bournemouth are favoured at 60%. Bournemouth 60% / Draw 22% / Tottenham Hotspur 18%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.