FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur 
Prediction
· Matchweek 28 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 59%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 59%, draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur 18%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 59%
model top outcome · 59%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 59% / Draw 23% / Tottenham Hotspur 18%; expected goals 1.90-0.96; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 59%
- Draw: 23%
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 18%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.90 - 0.96
- Over 2.5: 54%
- Both teams to score: 53%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1806 · Tottenham Hotspur Elo 1642
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Bournemouth clear favourites at 59% in this Matchweek 28 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 59%, the draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur 18%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1806 vs 1642), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Bournemouth are favoured at 59%. Bournemouth 59% / Draw 23% / Tottenham Hotspur 18%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.